I’ve been saying this on radio all week…Thursday night’s matchup between the Cardinals and Broncos is the “Fire Bowl”. If Denver loses to a pathetic Arizona offense, I can almost guarantee that coach Vance Joseph will be unemployed come the weekend. On the contrary, if Arizona doesn’t produce offensively against a Broncos defense that hasn’t impressed lately, I fully expect offensive coordinator Mike McCoy to be out of a job. So good luck to both teams and coaching staffs in this Thursday night dud…you’ll need it!
Week 7 NFL Picks
Last Week: 11-4 Straight Up (SU), 7-8 Against the Spread (ATS)
Overall: 62-29-2 SU, 45-48 ATS
(Picks against the spread in parentheses; home teams in caps)
Denver 24, ARIZONA 20 (ATS: Broncos -2.5)
I really thought about picking the Cardinals here…but I simply can’t trust their offense to do much more than run against a usually stingy Denver D. The Broncos have been gashed by opposing RBs for nearly 500 yards rushing in the last two weeks so there might be hope for David Johnson.
Los Angeles Chargers 27, Tennessee 21 (in London) (ATS: Titans +6.5)
The Titans were a disaster last week at home against Baltimore while the Chargers looked like a legitimate threat in the AFC. Things may level out a bit this week but I still don’t see Tennessee winning this game on foreign soil.
Minnesota 30, NEW YORK JETS 22 (ATS: Vikings -3.5)
I’d be really shocked if the Jets won three in a row…especially against a Vikings team that I feel is overdue to get on a serious roll. And by the way, how and when did Minnesota WR Adam Thielen turn into Jerry Rice?
PHILADELPHIA 27, Carolina 20 (ATS: Eagles -4.5)
I’m thinking that Carson Wentz continues his recent stellar play against a defense that made Alex Smith look like a star last week.
JACKSONVILLE 23, Houston 17 (ATS: Jaguars -4.5)
The Jaguars are a mess and Houston continues to underachieve. Which one will give? I’m interested to see if the Jags defense can rebound after last Sunday’s nightmare in Dallas.
TAMPA BAY 27, Cleveland 20 (ATS: Bucs -3.5)
I have no idea what to think here. Do the Bucs fix their defensive breakdowns with a new coordinator after former Falcons HC Mike Smith was fired this week? The answer to me is a resounding yes against the rookie, Baker Mayfield.
MIAMI 24, Detroit 23 (ATS: Dolphins +1.5)
I hate the fact that I’m picking the Dolphins to go 2-0 with Brock Osweiler at the helm. Please don’t take this pick to Vegas.
New England 26, CHICAGO 21 (ATS: Patriots -3.5)
I wanted to take the Bears here but with Khalil Mack clearly not 100%, if he even plays at all, Tom Brady and company should exploit the Bears stingy defense enough to get a solid road win.
INDIANAPOLIS 30, Buffalo 13 (ATS: Colts -7.5)
If the Colts are ever going to play a game that encourages their fans for the future, this is the week…against a pathetic Bills team. Even I have to admit, Andrew Luck has looked like the real deal in recent weeks and is on pace to set an NFL record for season passing attempts.
BALTIMORE 26, New Orleans 21 (ATS: Ravens -2.5)
The Ravens’ defense last week was as amazing a performance as we’ve seen in a long time. ELEVEN sacks!! They won’t do that against the Saints but they’ll keep Drew Brees and company in check just enough to secure the win at home.
Los Angeles Rams 31, SAN FRANCISCO 17 (ATS: Rams -10.5)
The 49ers played a hell of a game on Monday night in Green Bay…but I don’t like their chances against the NFL’s best team on a short week. Todd Gurley runs for another 125 yards and 2 scores.
WASHINGTON 26, Dallas 21 (ATS: Redskins -1.5)
My favorite pick of the week. I know the Cowboys are coming off a dominating win over Jacksonville last week…but Washington has looked like a contender in recent weeks as well. Fun game but give me the Redskins and the points.
KANSAS CITY 37, Cincinnati 24 (ATS: Chiefs -6.5)
If you want to see points scored, just watch Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense. I don’t know how far they’ll go in the playoffs with a very leaky defense…but they’ve been a heck of a lot of fun to watch!
ATLANTA 29, New York Giants 23 (ATS: Giants +6.5)
Both of these teams can put up points with ease though New York seems rather helpless over the long haul with the past-his-prime Eli Manning still managing the Giants offense. RB Saquon Barkley is easily the Offensive Rookie of the Year but it won’t matter this week. Also a bold prediction: Julio Jones gets his first TD of the season for the Falcons.
Week 7 Fantasy Football Guidance
‘Boom & Crush’ Record (15+ PPR fantasy points from a non-must start player)
Last Week: 2-1
‘Be Careful’ Record (12 or less PPR fantasy points from a top-15 player)
Last Week: 1-2
Boom & Crush:
QB: Alex Smith (WASH vs. DAL)
RB: LeSean McCoy (BUF at IND)
WR/TE: Alshon Jeffry (PHI vs. CAR)
QB: Matthew Stafford (DET at MIA)
RB: Tevin Coleman (ATL vs. NYG)
WR/TE: Michael Thomas (NO at BALT)