College Football Week 13 Expert Picks + Week 12 NFL Picks

Week 12 NFL Picks

Last Week: 7-7 Straight Up (SU), 7-7 Against the Spread (ATS)
Overall: 99-61-1 SU, 72-89 ATS
(Picks against the spread in parentheses; HOME TEAMS IN CAPS)

DETROIT LIONS 30, Houston Texans 24 (ATS: Lions +2.5)
DALLAS COWBOYS 26, Washington Football Team 21 (ATS: Cowboys -3.5)
PITTSBURGH STEELERS 20, Baltimore Ravens 17 (ATS: Ravens +4.5)
Arizona Cardinals 27, NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 23 (ATS: Cardinals -2.5)
MINNESOTA VIKINGS 30, Carolina Panthers 22 (ATS: Vikings -4.5)
Cleveland Browns 26, JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 21 (ATS: Jaguars +6.5)
BUFFALO BILLS 31, Los Angeles Chargers 27 (ATS: Chargers +5.5)
Las Vegas Raiders 29, ATLANTA FALCONS 24 (ATS: Raiders -3.5)
Miami Dolphins 23, NEW YORK JETS 16 (ATS: Jets +7.5)
New York Giants 24, CINCINNATI BENGALS 13 (ATS: Giants -5.5)
Tennessee Titans 24, INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 23 (ATS: Titans +4.5)
New Orleans Saints 27, DENVER BRONCOS 14 (ATS: Saints -5.5)
LOS ANGELES RAMS 26, San Francisco 49ers 20 (ATS: 49ers +7.5)
Kansas City Chiefs 33, TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 30 (ATS: Bucs +3.5)
GREEN BAY PACKERS 27, Chicago Bears 20 (ATS: Bears +8.5)
Seattle Seahawks 30, PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 27 (ATS: Eagles +5.5)

5 Quick Thoughts on Week 12
1. There were a few games this week where I darn near flipped a coin. Might as well try taking a bunch of road teams ATS because nothing else is working. Just seems like an inordinate amount this week…

2. I wouldn’t be surprised if any of the road teams won on Thanksgiving though I’m picking all three of the home teams. Houston probably shouldn’t be a 3 point road favorite over Detroit…who knows what to think of Dallas?…and Pittsburgh is most certainly due for a letdown at some point you’d think?

3. My favorite bet college or pro this week is the over in the Bills / Chargers game, assuming there are no weather issues (scheduled to be 48 and sunny in Buffalo on Sunday). Both teams have dynamic offenses and it seems like every Chargers game is decided by one score.

4. Another strange bet I’m liking a lot is the Titans in a revenge game from two weeks ago against the Colts. Derrick Henry is the rare player who gets stronger as the year goes along and I expect him to once again surpass the 100 yard rushing mark against Indy in a nail-biting Titans win.

5. Why do I have a strange feeling that Tampa Bay, who’s been plagued recently by terrible Tom Brady performances, is due to pull a stunner and beat the Chiefs on Sunday? I’m picking KC but going TB against the spread just in case…

Week 12 Betting Locks
(Last Week’s Result, Season Record in Parentheses)
Favorite (WIN, 6-5): Cardinals -2.5 at Patriots
Underdog (LOSS, 6-5): Titans +3.5 at Colts
Bet the Over (WIN 5-6): Chargers / Bills Over 53.5
Bet the Under (WIN, 7-4): Steelers / Ravens Under 45

EC’s Week 12 Pick 5 Selections:
Last Week: 3-2
Season: 27-28
Cal -1.5 vs. Stanford
(I’m just going to keep picking the Bears until they win and cover)
Michigan -2 vs. Penn State
Indiana -11.5 vs. Maryland
Texas State +17 vs. Coastal Carolina
Temple +36 vs. Cincinnati
Titans +3.5 at Colts

To read previous entries of my blog, click here. Also make sure to follow me on Twitter @CohensCornerAZ.

2 thoughts on “College Football Week 13 Expert Picks + Week 12 NFL Picks

  1. Since 1999? That’s impressive. Unless you’re just paying those guys to meet and take a photo every year so it looks like you have friends, that’s not impressive. Your NFL picks look pretty good but then I thought you only had 3 bad picks last week. The only game I might pick different (when I make my picks) is Houston over Detroit. I’m not sure about that game, leaning towards Houston.
    Don’t think I didn’t see your college picks and the message you’re sending me. Texas A&M to cover and Oklahoma will not cover? Sounds to me like you have something to say.
    Good Luck everybody, yes, even you EC.

    Liked by 1 person

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